Market outlook
Declining Outlook 7/10
Raw prices dropped 23.5-44.5% in recent 30 days per sales data, reflecting market softening for base cards amid economic factors.
Next months. Stable to slight decline next 3-6 months with holiday sales volatility.
Long term. Stable with modest growth 1-3 years tied to career milestones like Hall of Fame trajectory.
History
Patrick Mahomes II is the Kansas City Chiefs quarterback, drafted 10th overall in the 2017 NFL Draft from Texas Tech University. This rookie card captures his early NFL career significance before becoming a three-time Super Bowl champion and NFL MVP.
Released in 2017 Panini Football base set, card number 104, as part of the flagship NFL trading card product.
- Designated as a true rookie card (RC) in the base set.
- One of 25 tracked variations in 2017 Panini set including parallels like Knight School and Blue Knight /99.
- Key card for collectors tracking Mahomes' meteoric rise to NFL stardom.
Rarity and print run
- Tier
- Common
- Print run
- Very High
- First printed in
- 2017 Panini Football Base
- Demand
- High
- Supply
- Abundant
- Mass-produced base set rookie with no serial numbering.
- High overall print run typical of flagship products.
- Value driven by player popularity rather than inherent scarcity.
Collector notes
Condition. Check corners for dings, edges for chipping, centering on front/back (aim for 50/50 or better), surface for print defects or scratches common in mass-produced base rookies.
Storage. Use semi-rigid top loaders or card savers with team bags; store in cool, dry place away from sunlight to prevent fading or warping.
Authenticity. Verify holograms and card stock weight; compare to official scans on Panini site; prefer graded/graded/graded copies; fakes often have blurry printing or incorrect fonts.
Sources: sportscardspro.com, sportscardinvestor.com, hollywoodcollectibles.com, cardladder.com, collectibles.com